LOGIC (MS 339-1009)
Criticism of the view that the probability of inductive conclusions is calculated by inverse probabilities. CSP takes the position that "in inductive reasoning the fact stated in the conclusion does not follow from the facts stated in the premises with any definite probability, but that from the manner in which the facts stated in the premises have come to our knowledge it follows that in assigning to a certain ratio of frequency the value concluded we shall be following a rule of conduct which must operate to our advantage in the long run."
Induction, Logic (modal see Modality), Probability and Chance, inverse Probability and Chance
pp. 1-3, incomplete.
LOGIC / PRACTICAL LOGIC, NOTES, FRAGMENTS